Incident heart failure prediction in the elderly: the health ABC heart failure score

Field Value
Model ID08-018-01
Model NameHealth Aging and Body Composition (ABC) Heart Failure (HF)
Pubmed ID19777072
First AuthorButler
JournalCirculation: Heart Failure
TitleIncident heart failure prediction in the elderly: the health ABC heart failure score
Primary Index ConditionPopulation Sample
Secondary Index ConditionN/A
OutcomeChronic Heart Failure (CHF)
Model Sample Size2935
Cohort Sample Size2935
Number of Events258
Follow-Up DurationLong (>6 months)
Calibration Reported1
CovariatesAge <=71 years; Age 72-75 years; Age 76-78 years; Age >=79 years; Coronary artery disease: no; Coronary artery disease: possible; Coronary artery disease: definite; LV hypertrophy; SBP <=90 mmHg; SBP 95-100 mmHg; SBP 105-115 mmHg; SBP 120-125 mmHg; SBP 130-140 mmHg; SBP 145-150 mmHg; SBP 155-165 mmHg; SBP 170-175 mmHg; SBP 180-190 mmHg; SBP 195-200 mmHg; SBP >200 mmHg; Heart rate: <=50 bpm; Heart rate: 55-60 bpm; Heart rate: 65-70 bpm; Heart rate: 75-80 bpm; Heart rate: 85-90 bpm; Heart rate: >=95 bpm; Smoking: never; Smoking: past; Smoking: current; Albumin >=4.8 g/dl; Albumin 4.5-4.7 g/dl; Albumin 4.2-4.4 g/dl; Albumin 3.9-4.1 g/dl; Albumin 3.6-3.8 g/dl; Albumin 3.3-3.5 g/dl; Albumin <=3.2 g/dl; Fasting glucose <=80 mg/dl; Fasting glucose 85-125 mg/dl; Fasting glucose 130-170 mg/dl; Fasting glucose 175-220 mg/dl; Fasting glucose 225-265 mg/dl; Fasting glucose >=270 mg/dl; Creatinine <=0.7 mg/dl; Creatinine 0.8-0.9 mg/dl; Creatinine 1.0-1.1 mg/dl; Creatinine 1.2-1.4 mg/dl; Creatinine 1.5-1.8 mg/dl; Creatinine 1.9-2.3 mg/dl; Creatinine >2.3 mg/dl
Mesh TermsTo be updated
Number of Validations1

External Validations

1st Author Year Sample Size AUC Calibration Relatedness
Agarwal 2012 13555 0.785 No Related