Multivariable prediction of in-hospital mortality associated with aortic and mitral valve surgery in Northern New England

Field Value
Model ID04-008-01
Model NameNorthern New England (NNE) for Aortic Valve Repair (AVR)
Pubmed ID15172248
First AuthorNowicki
JournalAnnals of Thoracic Surgery
Year2004
TitleMultivariable prediction of in-hospital mortality associated with aortic and mitral valve surgery in Northern New England
Primary Index ConditionCardiac Surgery
Secondary Index ConditionValve
OutcomeMortality
Model Sample Size5793
Cohort Sample SizeNR
Number of Events360
Follow-Up DurationShort (<3 months)
AUROC0.75
Calibration Reported1
CovariatesAge 60-69 years; Age 70-75 years; Age 76-79 years; Age 80-95 years; Body surface area 1.85-1.99 m^2; Body surface area 1.70-1.84 m^2; Body surface area <1.70 m^2; Prior cardiac operation; Creatinine >=1.3 mg/dL; History of stroke; Atrial fibrillation; NYHA 4; History of CHF ever; Urgent priority; Emergent priority; Concomitant CABG; Year 1996-1998; Year 1991-1995; Intercept
Mesh TermsTo be updated
Number of Validations3

External Validations

Yes
3
0.75
1st Author Year Sample Size AUC Calibration Relatedness
Wang 2013 3479 0.706 Yes Distantly Related
Jin 2005 2330 0.75 Yes Related
Ariyaratne 2011 3306 0.77 Yes Related