The Society of Thoracic Surgeons 2008 cardiac surgery risk models: part 2–isolated valve surgery

Field Value
Model ID09-028-01
Model NameSociety of Thoracic Surgeons (STS) (valve) - Mortality
Pubmed ID19559823
First AuthorO'Brien
JournalAnnals of Thoracic Surgery
Year2009
TitleThe Society of Thoracic Surgeons 2008 cardiac surgery risk models: part 2–isolated valve surgery
Primary Index ConditionCardiac Surgery
Secondary Index ConditionValve
OutcomeMortality
Model Sample Size109759
Cohort Sample Size109759
Number of Events3706
Follow-Up DurationShort (<3 months)
AUROC0.805
Calibration Reported1
CovariatesIntercept; Atrial fibrillation; Age function 1; Age function 3; Age by reoperation function; Age by status function; Age by MVR function; Age by MVRepair function; BSA function 1; BSA function 2; CHF but not NYHA IV; CHF and NYHA IV; CLD function; CLD by MVR function; CLD by MVRepair function; Creatinine function 1; Diabetes, noninsulin; Diabetes, insulin; Dialysis; Dialysis by MVR function; Dialysis by MVRepair function; Ejection fraction function; Endocarditis, active; Female; Female by MVR function; Female by MVRepair function; Female by BSA function 1; Female by BSA function 2; Hypertension; IABP or inotropes; Immunosuppressive treatment; Left main disease; MI <=21 days; MVR; MVRepair; Peripheral vascular disease; Reop, 1 previous operation; Reop, >=2 previous operations; Shock; Status urgent; Status emergent; Status salvage; Status by MVR function; Status by MVRepair function; Stenosis mitral; Unstable angina
Mesh TermsTo be updated
Number of Validations51

External Validations

Yes
51
0.704
1st Author Year Sample Size AUC Calibration Relatedness
Vassileva 2015 6534 NR Yes Distantly Related
Collas 2016 225 NR No Distantly Related
Dewey 2008 638 NR Yes Related
D’Ascenzo 2014 177 0.45 No Distantly Related
Silva 2015 418 0.48 Yes Distantly Related
Debonnaire 2015 511 0.5 Yes Distantly Related
Zbronski 2016 156 0.55 Yes Distantly Related
Silaschi 2015 457 0.57 Yes Distantly Related
Durand 2013 250 0.58 Yes Distantly Related
Watanabe 2013 453 0.6 Yes Distantly Related
Beohar 2014 2466 0.6 Yes Distantly Related
Martin 2017 6676 0.6 Yes Distantly Related
Edwards 2016 6868 0.62 No Distantly Related
Gul Kunt 2013 428 0.62 Yes Distantly Related
Adamo 2015 304 0.621 Yes Distantly Related
Haensig 2013 360 0.64 Yes Distantly Related
Holinski 2015 78 0.64 Yes Related
Kortlandt 2016 136 0.65 Yes Distantly Related
Wang 2015 620 0.666 No Related
Le Tourneau 2010 694 0.67 Yes Distantly Related
D’Ascenzo 2014 1069 0.67 Yes Distantly Related
Balan 2017 426 0.674 No Distantly Related
Halkin 2016 1327 0.68 No Distantly Related
Sinning 2015 310 0.685 No Distantly Related
Sedaghat 2013 206 0.69 Yes Distantly Related
Piazza 2010 168 0.69 Yes Distantly Related
Tralhao 2015 106 0.702 Yes Related
Wang 2013 3479 0.706 Yes Related
Wendt 2014 1512 0.708 Yes Distantly Related
Wang 2014 9846 0.712 Yes Distantly Related
Wang 2015 620 0.715 Yes Related
Basraon 2011 537 0.73 Yes Related
Laurent 2013 314 0.73 Yes Distantly Related
Schmid 2017 72 0.734 No Distantly Related
Wang 2016 12412 0.735 Yes Distantly Related
Goetzenich 2012 206 0.735 Yes Distantly Related
Chan 2014 1154 0.74 Yes Related
Ivanov 2016 1412 0.755 Yes Distantly Related
Barili 2014 1023 0.76 Yes Distantly Related
Peguero 2016 1160 0.77 No Distantly Related
Yamaoka 2016 406 0.781 Yes Related
Tran 2010 394 0.782 No Related
Barili 2016 1444 0.79 Yes Related
Barili 2016 1444 0.79 Yes Related
Balan 2017 297 0.791 No Related
Jin 2013 3466 0.793 Yes Distantly Related
Rosa 2016 59 0.81 Yes Distantly Related
Rabbani 2014 490 0.812 Yes Related
Barili 2014 1239 0.82 Yes Related
Barili 2013 1758 0.85 Yes Related
Wang 2017 407 0.85 Yes Related